Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.002388 0.002527 0.002675 0.002846 0.003038 0.003250 0.003502
2025-04-27 0.002181 0.002371 0.002584 0.002845 0.003160 0.003536 0.004029
2025-05-04 0.002076 0.002305 0.002574 0.002919 0.003364 0.003937 0.004767
2025-05-11 0.001963 0.002212 0.002514 0.002918 0.003463 0.004212 0.005400
2025-05-18 0.001911 0.002186 0.002528 0.003004 0.003683 0.004685 0.006462
2025-05-25 0.001827 0.002109 0.002469 0.002983 0.003744 0.004931 0.007238
2025-06-01 0.001742 0.002025 0.002392 0.002926 0.003741 0.005070 0.007865
2025-06-08 0.001710 0.002007 0.002400 0.002990 0.003927 0.005563 0.009488
2025-06-15 0.001674 0.001981 0.002395 0.003030 0.004080 0.006032 0.011421
2025-06-22 0.001616 0.001922 0.002338 0.002986 0.004084 0.006212 0.012706
2025-06-29 0.001560 0.001863 0.002277 0.002932 0.004063 0.006334 0.013937
2025-07-06 0.001513 0.001814 0.002229 0.002892 0.004061 0.006498 0.015566
2025-07-13 0.001431 0.001715 0.002107 0.002733 0.003835 0.006128 0.014615
2025-07-20 0.001398 0.001684 0.002083 0.002731 0.003902 0.006471 0.017689
2025-07-27 0.001387 0.001682 0.002102 0.002799 0.004115 0.007252 0.026275
2025-08-03 0.001358 0.001655 0.002079 0.002797 0.004187 0.007695 0.036061
2025-08-10 0.001351 0.001658 0.002104 0.002877 0.004442 0.008820 0.089888
2025-08-17 0.001322 0.001627 0.002074 0.002858 0.004479 0.009261 0.229434
2025-08-24 0.001286 0.001586 0.002027 0.002805 0.004435 0.009389 0.993177
2025-08-31 0.001278 0.001584 0.002041 0.002864 0.004656 0.010717 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001265 0.001575 0.002043 0.002901 0.004834 0.012063 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001237 0.001543 0.002006 0.002861 0.004812 0.012404 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001208 0.001509 0.001966 0.002811 0.004758 0.012556 NaN